There are increasing signs from the Murphy administration that mask mandates and other restrictions could return to New Jersey by the Fall.

The latest COVID metrics released by the New Jersey Department of health show the number of positive COVID tests are up by nearly two-thirds over the last month. The state also reported more than 300 new tests in a single day for the first time since the end of May.

However, for perspective, the state was reporting thousands of new positive PCR tests a year ago.

Still, with more than 5.12 million residents considered fully vaccinated, it is a trend that has alarmed state health officials and the metrics are moving in a direction that could allow Governor Phil Murphy to impose new mandates just as things return to normal in New Jersey.

When Murphy allowed his public health emergency declaration to expire, he cut a deal with the legislature that would restore his sweeping pandemic powers if the rate of transmission (r/t) rose above one and/or there was a spike in hospitalizations. While the r/t has risen to 1.08, indicating COVID-19 is again spreading in New Jersey, there has not been a spike in hospitalizations. Just 310 of the infected were hospitalized state wide as of Wednesday.

Murphy has, however, continued to warn that new restrictions could be coming if the metrics continue to trend upward and more New Jersey residents are not vaccinated. He has declared the pandemic over for those who have gotten their shots, but claims the COVID variant is spreading among the unvaccinated.

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Variant infections have yet to peak

The former head of the FDA says the "worst is yet to come" with the COVID Delta variant. Dr. Scott Gottlieb told CNBC he believes Delta will become the dominant strain, and wash over the country through the summer, peaking in "September, maybe into October."

Variants of the Variants

There is also a report that the COVID mutations are also no mutating. Most troubling in that category was a mutation of the Delta variant, known as Delta-plus. Delta-plus, Gottlieb says, is as highly contagious as the original Delta, but is also showing resistance to current vaccines.

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